Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?

Result

Resolved Yes on Oct 12, 2026. Markets gave it 27% the day before.

This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.

100%Yes
0 ptsover 24h
24h volume$28.9K
Total volume$44.2K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 16, 20268 days ago
First seenOct 8, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 8Oct 9Oct 10Oct 11Oct 12Oct 10, 2026 · A strike killed 12 people and injured 309 at King Khalid International Airport.1Oct 11, 2026 · Airport closure was extended until midnight local time on Sunday.2Down 48 points on Oct 10Down 41 points on Oct 11
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

What happened

  1. A strike killed 12 people and injured 309 at King Khalid International Airport. Riyadh airport closure: UAE flight cancellations extend into Tuesday
  2. Airport closure was extended until midnight local time on Sunday. Saudi Arabia extends Riyadh airport closure after deadly strike
  3. Closure extended until midnight local time at the start of Monday with no confirmed resumption timeline. Saudi-led coalition says a projectile has struck a passenger terminal at the airport in Riyadh

Dated from the reporting the question's context cites, and placed alongside the price — never as the reason it moved. Written by AI from cited sources; in English.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

As of Oct 24, 12:01 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.