Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?

8%Yes
1 ptsover 24hOne venue carries this question.
24h volume$1.1K
Total volume$6.8K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 31, 2026in 29 days
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 17Sep 25Oct 2

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
  1. 1Best AI at the end of 2026?: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? Gemini
    36%Gemini3 pts
  2. 2Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
    40%Yes12 pts
  3. 3Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
    61%Yes11 pts
  4. 4Best AI at the end of 2026?: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? ChatGPT
    10%ChatGPT4 pts
  5. 5Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
    84%Yes5 pts

As of Oct 2, 01:50 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.