Will Nicaragua win on 2026-10-01?

9%Nicaragua

6 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 2 of 2 venues

24h volume$11.8K

Total volume$13.9K

Markets22 venues, 2 priced

ResolvesOct 2, 2026in 4 hours

First seenSep 18, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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2 venues

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Polymarket
Will Nicaragua win on 2026-10-01?
91% No$914.5 24h volume
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Kalshi
Nicaragua wins
91% No$10.9K 24h volume
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Will Nicaragua win on 2026-10-01?

Probability history

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