Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
3%Yes
2 ptsover 24h
The field · 12 outcomes
- Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems42%3
- Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Dems13%0
- Lula, Eizenkot, Dems11%4
- Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Reps11%3
- Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Reps11%1
- Lula, Netanyahu, Reps4%1
- Bolsonaro, Bennett, Dems3%3
- Lula, Netanyahu, Dems · this question3%2
- Lula, Eizenkot, Reps3%0
- Lula, Bennett, Reps1%0
- Bolsonaro, Bennett, Reps<1%0
- Lula, Bennett, Dems<1%1
24h volume$813
Total volume$2.9K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesNov 5, 2026in 11 days
First seenOct 5, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
If you’re right
What a stake pays at each venue, before fees$
| Venue | Price | Shares | Pays | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5.1¢ | 1,961 | $1,961 | +$1,861 19.6× |
Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?97% No$813 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
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As of Oct 25, 08:33 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.