Will it rain in Ontario, California on Feb 27, 2027? Yes

25%Yes
5 ptsover 24h
24h volume$6.3K
Total volume$27.3K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesFeb 28, 2027in 4 months
First seenOct 9, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

Open the market

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 9Oct 13Oct 16Oct 20Oct 24Up 65 points on Oct 13Down 65 points on Oct 17Up 63 points on Oct 21Up 13 points on Oct 22
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Kalshi29¢345$345+$245 3.4×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

As of Oct 24, 01:11 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.