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WorldIraqIranIraqIran

Will Iran target Iraq by October 22, 2026?

97%Yes
0 ptsover 24h
24h volume$625
Total volume$3.4K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 23, 2026yesterday
First seenOct 15, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 15Oct 17Oct 18Oct 19Oct 21Up 16 points on Oct 16Down 59 points on Oct 17Up 15 points on Oct 18Down 8 points on Oct 19Down 13 points on Oct 20
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

More in World

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  1. 1NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
    2%Yes15 pts
  2. 2US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
    79%Yes1 pts
  3. 3NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?
    8%Yes17 pts
  4. 4NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
    18%Yes17 pts
  5. 5US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
    87%Yes3 pts

As of Oct 24, 02:49 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.