Will Input Token Price of Claude Opus 4.8 be at or below $4/MTok in 2026? $4/MTok or below

19%$4/MTok or below
4 ptsover 24hOne venue carries this question.
24h volume$122
Total volume$9.5K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months
First seenSep 7, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

Open the market →

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 19Sep 26Oct 2

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

More in Crypto

View category →
  1. 1Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
    31%Yes3 pts
  2. 2Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?
    3%Yes1 pts
  3. 3Will BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000?: Will BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000 by Dec 31, 2026? 50,000 first
    9%50,000 first1 pts
  4. 4Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
    78%Yes10 pts
  5. 5Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?
    3%Yes2 pts

As of Oct 2, 12:04 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.