SettledAI

Will Gemini Argon be released on October 12, 2026?

Result

Resolved No on Oct 13, 2026. Markets gave it 6% the day before.

This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.

0%Yes
0 ptsover 24h
24h volume$548
Total volume$1.9K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 13, 202611 days ago
First seenOct 7, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 7Oct 9Oct 10Oct 12Oct 13Down 12 points on Oct 9Up 8 points on Oct 12
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
  1. 1Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: November 30, 2026
    60%Yes24 pts
  2. 2Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: December 31, 2026
    85%Yes1 pts
  3. 3Which Companies Will Confirm an IPO in 2026: Anthropic
    81%Yes4 pts
  4. 4Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: June 30, 2027
    92%Yes0 pts
  5. 5Will Anthropic list by 1 January 2027 00:00 UTC with a first-day market cap above $1.75T?
    63%Yes5 pts

As of Oct 24, 12:01 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.