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PoliticsBrazilBrazil

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?

2%Yes
0 ptsover 24h

The field · 7 outcomes

  1. Flávio Bolsonaro <4%38%4
  2. Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%37%8
  3. Lula da Silva <4%17%4
  4. Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+ · this question2%0
  5. Lula da Silva 4-8%1%0
  6. Lula da Silva 8-12%<1%0
  7. Lula da Silva 12%+<1%0
24h volume$145.9K
Total volume$884.1K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 26, 2026in 2 days
First seenOct 5, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 5Oct 10Oct 15Oct 19Oct 24

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket2.6¢3,846$3,846+$3,746 38.5×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 24, 01:17 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.