El Salvador vs Jamaica: El Salvador wins
28%El Salvador
15 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 2 of 2 venues
24h volume$7.9K
Total volume$8.1K
Markets22 venues, 2 priced
ResolvesOct 3, 2026in 14 hours
First seenSep 19, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
2 venuesComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- PolymarketWill El Salvador win on 2026-10-02?74% No$545.4 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
- KalshiEl Salvador wins72% No$7.4K 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
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As of Oct 2, 11:54 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.