Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
4%Yes
0 ptsover 24hPlain mean across 0 of 2 venues
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Markets22 venues, 0 priced
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months
First seenSep 2, 2026
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2 venuesComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Predict.funWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?no volume publishedResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
- PolymarketWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?96% Nono volume publishedResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
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As of Oct 2, 09:49 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.