Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1%Yes
0 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues
24h volume$241.5
Total volume$643.8K
Markets22 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesApr 1, 2027in 6 months
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
2 venuesComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Predict.funWill António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?85% Nono volume publishedResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
- PolymarketWill António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?99% No$241.5 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
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As of Sep 29, 09:37 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.