Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
26%Yes
5 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 2 of 2 venues
24h volume$11.1K
Total volume$125.5K
Markets22 venues, 2 priced
ResolvesNov 4, 2026next month
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
2 venuesComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- PolymarketWill an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?75% No$11.1K 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
- PascalNebraska Senate Winner: Independent74% No$2.3 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
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As of Oct 2, 02:23 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.