Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
2%Yes
2 ptsover 24h
24h volume$116
Total volume$215.3K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
If you’re right
What a stake pays at each venue, before fees$
| Venue | Price | Shares | Pays | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2.4¢ | 4,167 | $4,167 | +$4,067 41.7× |
Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?98% No$116 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
As of Oct 24, 11:57 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.