Will a cabinet member be impeached?: Will any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, White House Chief of Staff) be impeached before Jan 1, 2027? Before 2027
2%Before 2027
6 ptsover 24hOne venue carries this question.
24h volume$0
Total volume$53.1K
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesJan 20, 2029in 2 years
First seenSep 7, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- KalshiWill a cabinet member be impeached?: Will any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, White House Chief of Staff) be impeached before Jan 1, 2027? Before 202798% No$0 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
More in Politics
- 1Which party will win the U.S. House?: Will Republicans win the House in 2026? Republican Party9%Republican Party0 pts
- 22026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?: Will House Control be Republican AND Senate Control be Democratic for Feb 2027? R-House, D-Senate1%R-House, D-Senate0 pts
- 3Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — Rahm Emanuel2%Yes0 pts
- 4Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?2%Yes0 pts
- 5US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?32%Yes1 pts
As of Sep 29, 09:36 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.