Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?

100%Yes
0 ptsover 24h
24h volume$108
Total volume$9.1K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 19, 20265 days ago
First seenOct 9, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 9Oct 13Oct 16Oct 19Oct 22Up 26 points on Oct 12Down 20 points on Oct 13Up 66 points on Oct 20
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 24, 12:12 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.