Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? Donald Trump

Result

Resolved No on Oct 10, 2026. Markets gave it 0% the day before.

This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.

1%Donald Trump
0 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 3 venues
24h volume$24.2K
Total volume$3.1M
Markets33 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 9, 202616 days ago
First seenSep 7, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 15Sep 23Oct 1Oct 10

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 25, 02:47 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.