When will Google release Gemini 4?: Will Google release Gemini 4 before Oct 16, 2026?
48%Before Oct 16, 2026
2 ptsover 24hOne venue carries this question.
24h volume$1.8K
Total volume$6.6K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months
First seenSep 22, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- KalshiWhen will Google release Gemini 4?: Will Google release Gemini 4 before Oct 16, 2026?52% No$1.8K 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
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As of Sep 30, 12:03 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.