Washington vs San Francisco: 1st Quarter Winner: Will San Francisco win the 1st Quarter?

Result

Resolved Yes on Oct 20, 2026. Markets gave it 55% the day before.

This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.

99%San Francisco
0 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues
24h volume$193.9K
Total volume$195.7K
Markets22 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 20, 20265 days ago
First seenOct 12, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 15Oct 16Oct 17Oct 19Oct 20
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 25, 05:36 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.