US Withdraws From NATO? — By December 31, 2026
6%Yes
1 ptsover 24h
24h volume$6K
Total volume$76.8K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 15, 2027in 3 months
First seenOct 2, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket US · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket US. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
If you’re right
What a stake pays at each venue, before fees$
| Venue | Price | Shares | Pays | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7¢ | 1,429 | $1,429 | +$1,329 14.3× |
Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- US Withdraws From NATO? — By December 31, 202695% No$6K 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
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- 4NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?19%Yes15 pts
- 5US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?87%Yes4 pts
As of Oct 24, 12:04 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.