US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
21%Yes
3 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues
24h volume$50
Total volume$98.2K
Markets22 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 2 months
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
No recorded data before Sep 9 in this window.
Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
If you’re right
What a stake pays at each venue, before fees$
| Venue | Price | Shares | Pays | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21¢ | 476 | $476 | +$376 4.8× |
Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.
Where this question trades
2 venuesComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?80% No$50 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
- US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
$0 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
More in AI
- 1Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: November 30, 202660%Yes24 pts
- 2Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: December 31, 202685%Yes1 pts
- 3Which Companies Will Confirm an IPO in 2026: Anthropic81%Yes4 pts
- 4Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: June 30, 202792%Yes0 pts
- 5Will Anthropic list by 1 January 2027 00:00 UTC with a first-day market cap above $1.75T?63%Yes5 pts
As of Oct 24, 12:16 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.