US crude oil inventories for the week ending October 16, 2026: Will U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 be above 416 million barrels?

Result

Settled on Oct 22, 2026. Markets gave it 6% the day before.

This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.

2%Above 416 million barrels
0 ptsover 24h
24h volume$20
Total volume$8.5K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 28, 2026in 4 days
First seenOct 16, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 16Oct 17Oct 19Oct 20Oct 22Up 18 points on Oct 20Up 15 points on Oct 21
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 24, 12:20 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.