SettledWorld

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11): Will there be more than 30 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026? Above 30

Result

Settled on Oct 14, 2026. Markets gave it 10% the day before.

This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.

10%Above 30
0 ptsover 24h
24h volume$0
Total volume$60.8K
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesOct 13, 202611 days ago
First seenOct 3, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 3Oct 5Oct 8Oct 11Oct 13Up 8 points on Oct 4Up 10 points on Oct 6
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 24, 02:59 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.