SettledWorld

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11): Will there be more than 225 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026? Above 225

Result

Settled on Oct 14, 2026. Markets gave it 6% the day before.

This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.

6%Above 225
0 ptsover 24h
24h volume$0
Total volume$25.7K
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesOct 13, 202611 days ago
First seenOct 3, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 3Oct 5Oct 8Oct 11Oct 13Down 8 points on Oct 5
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 24, 02:56 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.