Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 30, 2026: Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 30, 2026 be above 80,000 MW?

Result

Settled on Oct 2, 2026. Markets gave it 10% the day before.

This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.

10%Above 80,000 MW
0 ptsover 24h
24h volume$0
Total volume$3K
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesOct 8, 202616 days ago
First seenSep 30, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 09:10 AMSep 30, 03:56 PMSep 30, 10:43 PMOct 1, 05:30 AM

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

As of Oct 24, 01:57 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.