Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 4, 2026: Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 4, 2026 be above 60,000 MW?

Result

Settled on Oct 5, 2026. Markets gave it 16% the day before.

This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.

99%Above 60,000 MW
0 ptsover 24h
24h volume$2.5K
Total volume$2.8K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 12, 202612 days ago
First seenOct 4, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 4, 07:00 AMOct 4, 02:50 PMOct 4, 10:41 PMOct 5, 06:32 AM
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

As of Oct 24, 02:54 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.