Tesla deliveries in Q1 2027: Will Tesla report Above 475,000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?

24h volume$193
Total volume$5.4K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesJul 31, 2027in 9 months
First seenOct 2, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2Oct 8Oct 13Oct 19Oct 24Down 47 points on Oct 6Up 27 points on Oct 8Down 28 points on Oct 21Up 61 points on Oct 22Down 47 points on Oct 23
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Kalshi60¢167$167+$66.67 1.7×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 24, 12:22 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.