Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 2, 2026?

Result

Resolved Yes on Oct 22, 2026. Markets gave it 73% the day before.

This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.

100%Yes
0 ptsover 24h
24h volume$2.8K
Total volume$4.1K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 3, 202621 days ago
First seenSep 30, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30Oct 6Oct 11Oct 17Oct 22Down 22 points on Oct 1Up 32 points on Oct 2Up 15 points on Oct 6Down 32 points on Oct 17Up 27 points on Oct 22
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 24, 03:50 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.