SettledUnclassified
Rafal Idaczyk wins
Result
Settled on Oct 1, 2026.
This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.
1%Rafal Idaczyk
0 ptsover 24h
24h volume$1.3K
Total volume$1.3K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 1, 202623 days ago
First seenOct 1, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
No recorded data before Oct 1 in this window.
Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Rafal Idaczyk wins
99% No$1.3K 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
As of Oct 24, 03:34 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.