SettledAI

OpenAI share of spend on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel): OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 14.9%

Result

Settled on Oct 24, 2026. Markets gave it 99% the day before.

This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.

71%Above 14.9%
0 ptsover 24h
24h volume$7
Total volume$7.6K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 23, 2026yesterday
First seenOct 18, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 18Oct 20Oct 21Oct 22Oct 23Down 63 points on Oct 22Up 28 points on Oct 23
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
  1. 1Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: November 30, 2026
    71%Yes11 pts
  2. 2Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: December 31, 2026
    85%Yes1 pts
  3. 3Which Companies Will Confirm an IPO in 2026: Anthropic
    85%Yes1 pts
  4. 4Will Anthropic list by 1 January 2027 00:00 UTC with a first-day market cap above $2.5T?
    7%Yes0 pts
  5. 5Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: June 30, 2027
    92%Yes0 pts

As of Oct 24, 08:54 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.