SettledAI

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15?

Result

Resolved Yes on Oct 3, 2026. Markets gave it 35% the day before.

This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.

100%Yes
0 ptsover 24h
24h volume$2.6K
Total volume$2.6K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 16, 20269 days ago
First seenSep 30, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 10:57 PMOct 1, 05:57 PMOct 2, 12:58 PMOct 3, 07:59 AMUp 21 points on Oct 1Up 16 points on Oct 2
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
  1. 1Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: November 30, 2026
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  2. 2Which Companies Will Confirm an IPO in 2026: Anthropic
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  3. 3Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: December 31, 2026
    81%Yes4 pts
  4. 4Will Anthropic list by 1 January 2027 00:00 UTC with a first-day market cap above $2.5T?
    7%Yes0 pts
  5. 5Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: June 30, 2027
    92%Yes0 pts

As of Oct 25, 01:36 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.