Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?

19%Yes
18 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues
24h volume$4.1K
Total volume$24.3K
Markets22 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 31, 2026next month
First seenSep 4, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 4Sep 11Sep 18Sep 25Oct 1

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
  1. 1Best AI at the end of 2026?: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? Gemini
    36%Gemini26 pts
  2. 2Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
    70%Yes59 pts
  3. 3Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
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  4. 4Best AI at the end of 2026?: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? Claude
    52%Claude22 pts
  5. 5Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
    53%Yes26 pts

As of Oct 1, 07:47 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.