SettledAI

Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?

Result

Resolved No on Oct 24, 2026. Markets gave it 4% the day before.

This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.

0%Yes
2 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues
24h volume$1.9K
Total volume$80.5K
Markets22 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 23, 2026yesterday
First seenSep 23, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 23Oct 1Oct 9Oct 16Oct 24Up 29 points on Sep 24Up 10 points on Sep 25Down 29 points on Sep 28Down 13 points on Sep 29Down 16 points on Oct 1
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
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    92%Yes0 pts

As of Oct 25, 03:31 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.