New Mexico vs Hawai'i: New Mexico wins

Result

Settled on Oct 19, 2026. Markets gave it 100% the day before.

This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.

99%New Mexico
0 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 4 venues
24h volume$1.5M
Total volume$1.5M
Markets44 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 17, 20268 days ago
First seenOct 4, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 3Oct 7Oct 11Oct 15Oct 18Up 16 points on Oct 10Down 9 points on Oct 11Down 14 points on Oct 18
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 25, 01:47 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.