Marshall vs James Madison: Spread: spread: James Madison (-5.5)
82%James Madison
0 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues
24h volume$0.1
Total volume$0.1
Markets22 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 3, 2026tomorrow
First seenSep 21, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
2 venuesComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- KalshiJames Madison wins by over 5.5 points82% James Madison wins by over 5.5 points$0.1 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
- PolymarketMarshall vs James Madison: spread: James Madison (-5.5)81% James Madisonno volume publishedResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
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As of Oct 2, 10:15 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.