Marshall vs James Madison: Marshall wins
10%Marshall
1 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 2 of 3 venues
24h volume$4.1K
Total volume$6.3K
Markets33 venues, 2 priced
ResolvesOct 3, 2026in 2 days
First seenSep 21, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
3 venuesComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Predict.funMarshall vs. James Madisonno volume publishedResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
- KalshiMarshall wins90% No$1.4K 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
- PolymarketMarshall vs James Madison: Marshall wins91% James Madison$2.7K 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
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As of Oct 1, 07:12 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.