Manon Leonard wins

Result

Settled on Oct 18, 2026. Markets gave it 25% the day before.

This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.

1%Manon Leonard
0 ptsover 24h
24h volume$24K
Total volume$24K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 17, 20267 days ago
First seenOct 17, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 17, 05:25 AMOct 17, 02:41 PMOct 17, 11:57 PMOct 18, 09:13 AM

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

As of Oct 24, 02:06 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.