SettledScience

Lowest temperature in Louisville on Oct 18, 2026?: Will the minimum temperature be 38-39° on Oct 18, 2026? 38° to 39°

Result

Settled on Oct 19, 2026. Markets gave it 98% the day before.

This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.

99%38° to 39°
0 ptsover 24h
24h volume$1.2K
Total volume$1.9K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 19, 20265 days ago
First seenOct 17, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

Open the market

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 17, 07:36 PMOct 18, 11:37 AMOct 19, 03:38 AMOct 19, 07:40 PMDown 79 points on Oct 18
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

More in Science

View category
  1. 1Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026: Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 97.5 TWh?
    64%Above 97.5 TWh11 pts
  2. 2US Measles Cases in 2026? — Above 5000
    94%Yes0 pts
  3. 3Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?
    77%Yes9 pts
  4. 4Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in United States be reported before Jan 1, 2027?
    11%United States1 pts
  5. 5Where Will 2026 Rank Among the Hottest Years on Record? — 1st
    83%Yes0 pts

As of Oct 25, 04:46 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.