Israel military action against Lebanon on October 15?
Result
Resolved Yes on Oct 16, 2026. Markets gave it 92% the day before.
This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.
100%Yes
0 ptsover 24h
24h volume$12.8K
Total volume$75.4K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 16, 20268 days ago
First seenOct 1, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Israel military action against Lebanon on October 15?100% Yes$12.8K 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
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- 5US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?87%Yes4 pts
As of Oct 24, 12:11 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.