How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026?: Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 46 at the November 3, 2026 general election?
27%At least 46
0 ptsover 24hOne venue carries this question.
24h volume$0
Total volume$1.8K
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesMar 15, 2027in 6 months
First seenSep 7, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- KalshiHow many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026?: Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 46 at the November 3, 2026 general election?73% No$0 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
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As of Sep 29, 07:35 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.