How many states will redistrict before the midterms?: Will the number of distinct U.S. states satisfying the REDISTRICTING Payout Criterion before November 3, 2026, treating “after Issuance” as “after July 1, 2025” be below 8 before the 2026 midterms?
93%Below 8
2 ptsover 24hOne venue carries this question.
24h volume$1.2
Total volume$5.5K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesFeb 1, 2027in 4 months
First seenSep 7, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- KalshiWill the number of distinct U.S. states satisfying the REDISTRICTING Payout Criterion before November 3, 2026, treating “after Issuance” as “after July 1, 2025” be below 8 before the 2026 midterms?93% Below 8$1.2 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
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As of Oct 2, 10:52 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.