How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026?: Will exactly 4 Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026?
2%Exactly 4
1 ptsover 24hOne venue carries this question.
24h volume$432.5
Total volume$7.1K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 3 months
First seenSep 7, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- KalshiHow many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026?: Will exactly 4 Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026?98% No$432.5 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
More in Politics
- 1Who will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — Flávio Bolsonaro55%Yes6 pts
- 2Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?45%Yes6 pts
- 3Which party will win the U.S. House?: Will Republicans win the House in 2026? Republican Party9%Republican Party0 pts
- 4Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?: Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before Nov 1, 2026? Before November2%Before November1 pts
- 5Which party will win the U.S. Senate?: Will Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026? Democratic Party63%Democratic Party1 pts
As of Oct 2, 03:44 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.