Highest temperature in San Francisco on October 6, 2026? — 80°F or below

Result

Resolved Yes on Oct 7, 2026. Markets gave it 78% the day before.

This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.

100%Yes
0 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues
24h volume$11.2K
Total volume$12K
Markets22 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 7, 202618 days ago
First seenOct 5, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 5, 01:03 PMOct 6, 07:34 AMOct 7, 02:04 AMOct 7, 08:34 PMUp 20 points on Oct 6Up 35 points on Oct 7
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket US. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

As of Oct 25, 05:35 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.