Highest temperature in San Francisco on October 15? — 84 to 85

Result

Resolved Yes on Oct 16, 2026. Markets gave it 34% the day before.

This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.

100%Yes
0 ptsover 24h
24h volume$3.8K
Total volume$3.8K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 16, 20268 days ago
First seenOct 14, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 14, 01:25 PMOct 15, 06:48 AMOct 16, 12:12 AMOct 16, 05:35 PMDown 21 points on Oct 15Up 80 points on Oct 16
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket US. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

As of Oct 24, 08:13 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.