Highest temperature in Chicago on October 13, 2026? — 81°F or below

Result

Resolved Yes on Oct 14, 2026. Markets gave it 61% the day before.

This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.

100%Yes
0 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues
24h volume$7.8K
Total volume$8.2K
Markets22 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 14, 202610 days ago
First seenOct 12, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 12, 01:30 PMOct 13, 05:17 AMOct 13, 09:05 PMOct 14, 12:53 PMUp 44 points on Oct 13
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket US. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

As of Oct 24, 12:49 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.