SettledTechnology

Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?

Result

Resolved No on Oct 11, 2026. Markets gave it 1% the day before.

This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.

0%Yes
0 ptsover 24h
24h volume$3.2K
Total volume$39.9K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 11, 202613 days ago
First seenSep 30, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30Oct 3Oct 6Oct 9Oct 11Down 9 points on Oct 2Down 9 points on Oct 3Up 13 points on Oct 4Down 15 points on Oct 5Down 16 points on Oct 8
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 24, 01:36 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.