Blue wave in 2026?: Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms? Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?
87%Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?
1 ptsover 24hOne venue carries this question.
24h volume$21.1K
Total volume$824.6K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesFeb 1, 2027in 4 months
First seenSep 7, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- KalshiWill Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms? Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?87% Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?$21.1K 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
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As of Oct 2, 01:51 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.