Bahia vs Mirassol: Mirassol wins

Result

Resolved No on Oct 12, 2026. Markets gave it 20% the day before.

This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.

1%Mirassol
0 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues
24h volume$138.4K
Total volume$139.1K
Markets22 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 12, 202614 days ago
First seenSep 28, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28Oct 1Oct 5Oct 8Oct 12Up 14 points on Oct 11
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 25, 08:09 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.