SettledUnclassified
Alastair Gray wins
Result
Settled on Oct 14, 2026. Markets gave it 40% the day before.
This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.
99%Alastair Gray
0 ptsover 24h
24h volume$1.3M
Total volume$1.3M
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 14, 202611 days ago
First seenOct 13, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Alastair Gray wins
99% Alastair Gray$1.3M 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
As of Oct 24, 02:40 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.