KalshiOpen

Gold price on Oct 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 3894 USD/t.oz on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3894

Above $389494%
No6%

Price checked at

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread6%
ResolvesOct 26, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 24, 12:05 AMOct 24, 07:04 AMOct 24, 02:03 PMOct 24, 09:02 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 3894 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Gold price on Oct 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4004 USD/t.oz on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4004Kalshi51% Above $4004Open
Gold price on Oct 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 3994 USD/t.oz on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3994Kalshi58% Above $3994Open
Gold price on Oct 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 3984 USD/t.oz on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3984Kalshi65% Above $3984Open
Gold price on Oct 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4104 USD/t.oz on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4104Kalshi95% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 3964 USD/t.oz on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3964Kalshi71% Above $3964Open
Gold price on Oct 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4014 USD/t.oz on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4014Kalshi53% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 3954 USD/t.oz on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3954Kalshi83% Above $3954Open
Gold price on Oct 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4024 USD/t.oz on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4024Kalshi56% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 3974 USD/t.oz on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3974Kalshi72% Above $3974Open
Gold price on Oct 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4214 USD/t.oz on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4214Kalshi93% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 3934 USD/t.oz on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3934Kalshi85% Above $3934Open
Gold price on Oct 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 3824 USD/t.oz on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3824Kalshi80% Above $3824Open
Gold price on Oct 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4034 USD/t.oz on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4034Kalshi66% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4124 USD/t.oz on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4124Kalshi96% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4094 USD/t.oz on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4094Kalshi95% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4054 USD/t.oz on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4054Kalshi57% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4134 USD/t.oz on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4134Kalshi98% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4084 USD/t.oz on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4084Kalshi93% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4074 USD/t.oz on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4074Kalshi92% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 3944 USD/t.oz on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3944Kalshi85% Above $3944Open
Gold price on Oct 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 3914 USD/t.oz on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3914Kalshi92% Above $3914Open
Gold price on Oct 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 3904 USD/t.oz on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3904Kalshi93% Above $3904Open
Gold price on Oct 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 3874 USD/t.oz on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3874Kalshi97% Above $3874Open
Gold price on Oct 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 3864 USD/t.oz on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3864Kalshi98% Above $3864Open
Gold price on Oct 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 3884 USD/t.oz on October 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3884Kalshi97% Above $3884Open

Venue activity

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Trades (24h)—
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Open interest—
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As of Oct 24, 09:45 PM UTC